I'll play over 3,550.5 yards ( Caesars) with confidence, given Carr's health. It's as much a bet on Carmichael as it is on Carr. Carr has great weapons in sophomore Chris Olave - we'll be hearing more from him - and hopefully Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara, if both can get on the field, and he looks tailor-made to take on the old Brees role and put up huge numbers in this offense. That should change with Derek Carr, easily the best passer this offense will have featured in years. So, what happened the last three years? Drew Brees retired, the Saints rotated through a cast of QBs the team didn't trust, and Carmichael skewed run-heavy. That included nine straight top-five yardage finishes for Drew Brees, including an incredible seven times as the leader in this category. Many times, the best way to bet season leaders is by looking at coaching history, and the Saints have a lot of it under longtime OC Pete Carmichael.Ĭarmichael's Saints ranked top 10 in the NFL in passing yards each of his first 11 seasons as OC before the last three years. Longshot Bet: Derek Carr, Saints (+3500 via BetMGM) This number will be much shorter then and give us options for the second half. Allen has a Charmin-soft schedule to start, with a chance to roll up big numbers early en route to an 8-0 start. He's averaged 270 yards a game across the last three seasons. Allen hasn't missed a start since his rookie season, and Buffalo has ranked top five in passing attempts twice in a row.Ī healthy Allen will be chucking it deep with better accuracy. He's the fourth-favorite on the board but still available at a bargain price at BetRivers, the same price as Kirk Cousins at most places.Īllen had 4,283 yards but was on pace for 5,338 yards and 46 TDs through seven games before an elbow injury waylaid his numbers, and he also had that canceled game against the Bengals. I won't bet many season leaders favorites, but I'll make an exception for Allen since he's my outright favorite and the only quarterback I have projected at 5,000 yards. Last Year's Winner Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs: 5,250 yardsĢ023 Target 5,000+ yards (300 per game) Best Bet: Josh Allen, Bills (+1400 via BetRivers) You'll also see last year's winner, the number I'm targeting for each category in 2023, and an ordered watch list of names I'm keeping a close eye on as the season starts out.Ĭheck out last year's season leaders series for a more in-depth historical profile at each award: Let's get everything started with a look at eight major season leaders categories in passing, rushing, and receiving.įor each season leaders market below, you'll see my best bet and at least one long shot I'm sprinkling. I love these markets and we'll come back to them and add to our portfolios all season. For 18 games, you've got your own version of fantasy football, with key names to watch and root for each Sunday as they rack up yards, touchdowns, and perhaps even interceptions. NFL footage © NFL Productions LLC.Betting on season leaders can be a fun way to invest in the NFL regular season. All other NFL-related trademarks are trademarks of the National Football League. NFL and the NFL shield design are registered trademarks of the National Football League.The team names, logos and uniform designs are registered trademarks of the teams indicated.
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